We say: Monza 1-3 Lazio
Even if Monza manage to gain the lead, Lazio are at their strongest during the final third of matches and have sufficient firepower to blow them away.
The Biancocelesti have scored more goals during the final 30 minutes than any other Serie A side this season - no fewer than 12 in 11 games - so they will surely pick up maximum points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw has a probability of 24.8% and a win for Monza has a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Monza win it is 1-0 (7.31%).
-0.07) 
0.05) 
