Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta2 - 0Monza
We said: Atalanta BC 3-1 Monza
One aberration aside - their 0-0 draw with Celtic - a voracious Atalanta side simply cannot stop scoring, averaging four goals per home game in Serie A. Although Gian Piero Gasperini may choose midweek to make changes amid a hectic schedule, the hosts should still have too much firepower for their visitors to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
71.12% ( 1.07) | 18% ( -0.37) | 10.88% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 45.93% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
