Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza3 - 1Brescia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Pisa 2-1 Brescia
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B
We said: Monza 1-0 Brescia
It is set to be a close contest between two Lombardy clubs that have never lifted the Coppa Italia, but due to their greater individual quality, Monza should just scrape through to meet Bologna in the last 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Brescia |
42.56% ( -0.64) | 26.28% ( 0.11) | 31.15% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.64% ( -0.28) | 52.36% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.95% ( -0.25) | 74.04% ( 0.24) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.44) | 24.38% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.21% ( -0.62) | 58.79% ( 0.62) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( 0.21) | 31.09% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.58% ( 0.25) | 67.42% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Monza 42.55%
Brescia 31.16%
Draw 26.27%
| Monza | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.16% |
How you voted: Monza vs Brescia
Monza
72.5%Draw
19.6%Brescia
7.8%51
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 8pm
Apr 18, 2022 7.30pm
Dec 5, 2021 3.15pm
May 10, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 38
Monza
0-2
Brescia
