Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brescia in this match.
-0.13) 
0.17) 
