Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli0 - 0Monza
We said: Empoli 1-0 Monza
Following such a dramatic denouement to last season at Stadio Castellani, it might be a more low-key start to Serie A's 2024-25 campaign on Sunday. One goal could decide the game, and as Empoli's young forwards looked sharp in the cup last week, the home side should get under way with a win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Monza had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Monza |
47.82% ( 0.23) | 25.94% ( 0.18) | 26.23% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
