Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Empoli |
54.66% ( -0.03) | 23.85% ( 0.01) | 21.48% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.27% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.58% ( 0) | 49.41% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% ( 0) | 71.45% ( -0) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% ( -0.01) | 17.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.2% ( -0.02) | 48.8% ( 0.02) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% ( 0.03) | 37.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% ( 0.03) | 74.28% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |