Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 1
Empoli

Zanoli (34')
Amione (28'), Duricic (59'), Gabbiadini (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Piccoli (90+3')
Grassi (43'), Pjaca (72'), Cambiaghi (75'), Parisi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 2-0 Sampdoria
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 2-1 Salernitana
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

This is tough to call due to Samp's poor goalscoring form at the Marassi, where nine goals rank as the worst in the division, and Empoli's 13 road goals better three teams in Serie A. Monday's game should be low-scoring, with both teams cancelling each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Empoli
38.14% ( -0.34)	27.61% ( 0.03)	34.25% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.11% (

-0.06)

56.89% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

-0.05)

77.81% (

0.04)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11% (

-0.23)

28.89% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24% (

-0.28)

64.76% (

0.28)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69% (

0.18)

31.31% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.34% (

0.21)

67.66% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 38.14%

Empoli 34.24%

Draw 27.61%

Sampdoria	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.14%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.24%