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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Bologna logo

Empoli
3 - 1
Bologna

Lucumi (1' og.), Akpa-Akpro (45+1'), Cambiaghi (68')
Parisi (27'), Henderson (66'), Bandinelli (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orsolini (88' pen.)
Motta (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-1 Bologna

A closely-fought contest between two out-of-sorts sides is set to take place on Thursday with Empoli boasting the psychological edge considering their strong head-to-head record over Bologna. However, we believe that the visitors can follow up their draw with Juventus by picking up at least a point at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawBologna
33.83% (-0.127 -0.13) 26.38% (0.105 0.11) 39.79% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.63% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.46 -0.46)52.07% (0.461 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.4 -0.4)73.8% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.30600000000001 -0.31)29.17% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (-0.379 -0.38)65.11% (0.381 0.38)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.196 -0.2)25.69% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (-0.27 -0.27)60.61% (0.269 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 33.83%
    Bologna 39.78%
    Draw 26.37%
EmpoliDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.83%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.78%

How you voted: Empoli vs Bologna

Empoli
29.9%
Draw
28.4%
Bologna
41.8%
67
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 2pm
gameweek 7
Bologna
0-1
Empoli
Bandinelli (75')
Grassi (89')
Feb 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 24
Bologna
0-0
Empoli

Schouten (23'), De Silvestri (40')

Asllani (31'), Bandinelli (40'), Parisi (59'), Cacace (90')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
gameweek 6
Empoli
4-2
Bologna
Bonifazi (1' og.), Pinamonti (32'), Bajrami (54' pen.), Ricci (90')
Henderson (34'), Pinamonti (67')
Barrow (11'), Arnautovic (77')
Vignato (24'), Orsolini (90+4')
Apr 27, 2019 2pm
gameweek 34
Bologna
3-1
Empoli
Soriano (52'), Orsolini (83'), Sansone (90')
M'baye (25'), Orsolini (35'), Soriano (78')
Pajac (17')
Pajac (7'), Krunic (54')
Dec 9, 2018 2pm
gameweek 15
Empoli
2-1
Bologna
Caputo (10'), La Gumina (80')
Veseli (35'), Capezzi (45')
Poli (41')
Poli (23'), Dzemaili (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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