Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 15, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 1
AC Milan

Sansone (1')
Posch (58'), Dominguez (70'), Kiriakopoulos (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pobega (40')
Florenzi (54'), Calabria (80'), Pobega (81'), Vranckx (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Wednesday, April 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

As Bologna have been brilliant on home soil and a much-changed Milan may be distracted by dreams of European glory, a share of the spoils could be the outcome. Well organised and offering a renewed challenge under Thiago Motta, the Rossoblu are capable of claiming a point against the outgoing champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
33.63% ( 0.02)	26.25% ( 0.01)	40.12% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.42% (

-0.02)

51.57% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.63% (

-0.02)

73.37% (

0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94% (

29.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.03% (

64.97% (

-0)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

-0.02)

25.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94% (

-0.03)

60.06% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bologna 33.63%

AC Milan 40.12%

Draw 26.25%

Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.63%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.12%