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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Bologna logo

Salernitana
2 - 2
Bologna

Pirola (7'), Dia (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
Orsolini (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Bologna

With goals likely to be thin on the ground in Salerno, a single strike could decide the points' destiny on Saturday evening: both teams are fairly lightweight up front. Compared to Paulo Sousa's early impact at the Arechi, Bologna are further along in their development under Thiago Motta so can get back on the winning trail at their hosts' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawBologna
31.64% (-0.993 -0.99) 27.07% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 41.29% (1.053 1.05)
Both teams to score 49.84% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.35% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)76.56% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (-0.706 -0.71)32.29% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.808 -0.81)68.79% (0.81200000000001 0.81)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.554 0.55)26.39% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (0.73 0.73)61.55% (-0.724 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 31.64%
    Bologna 41.29%
    Draw 27.07%
SalernitanaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.244 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.29%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Bologna

Salernitana
25.8%
Draw
12.9%
Bologna
61.3%
31
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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