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Venezia
Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Bologna logo

Salernitana
2 - 2
Bologna

Pirola (7'), Dia (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
Orsolini (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Bologna

With goals likely to be thin on the ground in Salerno, a single strike could decide the points' destiny on Saturday evening: both teams are fairly lightweight up front. Compared to Paulo Sousa's early impact at the Arechi, Bologna are further along in their development under Thiago Motta so can get back on the winning trail at their hosts' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawBologna
31.64% (-0.993 -0.99) 27.07% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 41.29% (1.053 1.05)
Both teams to score 49.84% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.35% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)76.56% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (-0.706 -0.71)32.29% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.808 -0.81)68.79% (0.81200000000001 0.81)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.554 0.55)26.39% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (0.73 0.73)61.55% (-0.724 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 31.64%
    Bologna 41.29%
    Draw 27.07%
SalernitanaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.244 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.29%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Bologna

Salernitana
Draw
Bologna
Salernitana
25.8%
Draw
12.9%
Bologna
61.3%
31
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan30207367283967
2Napoli30197447242364
3Atalanta BCAtalanta30177663293458
4Bologna301511450341656
5Juventus301413346281855
6Roma30157845301552
7Fiorentina30156947301751
8Lazio2915685041951
9AC Milan30138945351047
10Udinese30117123641-540
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa30811112838-1035
13Como3079143647-1130
14CagliariCagliari3078153144-1329
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce3067172149-2825
18Empoli30411152447-2323
19VeneziaVenezia30311162343-2020
20Monza3029192452-2815


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