Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
69.61% ( 1.39) | 17.7% ( -0.46) | 12.69% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% ( -0.1) | 37.61% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.16% ( -0.11) | 59.84% ( 0.11) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% ( 0.31) | 9.73% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.6% ( 0.71) | 32.4% ( -0.71) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.87% ( -1.46) | 41.13% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.33% ( -1.32) | 77.67% ( 1.32) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.06% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.7% | 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 31 |
3 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
5 | Lazio | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 28 |
6 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
7 | AC Milan | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
10 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 16 |
11 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
12 | Torino | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Roma | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
16 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 13 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 12 |
18 | Como | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 11 |
19 | Monza | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |