Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina0 - 1Torino
We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Torino
Among teams inside the top half of the Serie A table, Fiorentina and Torino have the worst shot conversion rates - both less than 9% - so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards. Both sides lack an in-form finisher, so expect a close-fought affair at the Franchi. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Torino |
59.94% ( -0.49) | 22.06% ( 0.08) | 18% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
