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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Salernitana

Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dia (55')
Radovanovic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cremonese
Saturday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana

 Fiorentina are enjoying a good run of form in all competitions as the World Cup break draws closer, but they still have a lot of work to do in order to catch up with those clubs challenging for European places in Serie A. Salernitana have improved after a woeful start to the campaign and now face two away assignments before the league pauses until January, but a trip to face Italiano's men may be where the good results of late begin to dry up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
70.81% (0.768 0.77) 17.89% (-0.249 -0.25) 11.3% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.902 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (-0.271 -0.27)42.27% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (-0.273 -0.27)64.67% (0.268 0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (0.12 0.12)10.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.42% (0.27500000000001 0.28)34.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (-1.088 -1.09)46.5% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (-0.846 -0.85)82.11% (0.84 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 70.8%
    Salernitana 11.3%
    Draw 17.89%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.42% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.26% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 2.32% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 70.8%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 11.3%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Salernitana

Fiorentina
76.3%
Draw
14.5%
Salernitana
9.2%
76
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Salernitana
2-1
Fiorentina
Djuric (9'), Bonazzoli (79')
Gyomber (22')
Saponara (64')
Milenkovic (82')
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
4-0
Salernitana
Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')

Kastanos (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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