UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Stadions Arkadija

RFS
0 - 3
Fiorentina

Zjuzins (55')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Barak (7'), Cabral (44'), Saponara (45+2')
Martinez (77'), Venuti (79'), Bianco (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rigas Futbola Skola

Last Game: Hearts 2-1 RFS
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Spezia 1-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rigas Futbola Skola 0-2 Fiorentina

There is more riding on this fixture for Fiorentina who are aware that a victory could secure top spot in Group A and an immediate route into the last 16. RFS frustrated Fiorentina in the reverse fixture, but we can see the Italian side coming away with a routine win on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Rigas Futbola Skola	Draw	Fiorentina
34.32% ( -0.11)	28.81%	36.86% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.35% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.78% (

-0.01)

61.22% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.84% (

-0.01)

81.15% (

0.01)

Rigas Futbola Skola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.52% (

-0.08)

33.48% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

-0.09)

70.11% (

0.09)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

0.06)

31.81% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

0.07)

68.25% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Rigas Futbola Skola 34.31%

Fiorentina 36.86%

Draw 28.8%

Rigas Futbola Skola	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.31%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8%	0-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.86%