MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 05:36:03| >> :120:69402:69402:
Istanbul Basaksehir
Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Fiorentina logo

Istanbul
3 - 0
Fiorentina

Gurler (57', 71'), Traore (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ikone (22'), Amrabat (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Fiorentina

The two teams head into this encounter in contrasting form, with Istanbul Basaksehir going from strength to strength so far this season. Fiorentina will be fired up to put an end to their winless streak, but we can see the hosts coming away with a slender win in Istanbul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawFiorentina
48.34% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 25.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 25.66% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)54.11% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (0.010000000000005 0.01)22.4% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (0.016999999999996 0.02)55.91% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)36.26% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)73.04% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 48.34%
    Fiorentina 25.66%
    Draw 25.99%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Fiorentina

Istanbul Basaksehir
64.8%
Draw
14.8%
Fiorentina
20.5%
88
rhs 2.0
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