MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:02:46| >> :600:628507:628507:
Hearts logo
Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Istanbul Basaksehir

Hearts
0 - 4
Istanbul


Atkinson (58'), Humphrys (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ali Kaldirim (26'), Ndayishimiye (67'), Kingsley (75' og.), Ozcan (82')
Touba (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hearts and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 1-0 Hearts
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Alanyaspor
Saturday, September 3 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hearts 0-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

Having been drawn in a difficult group, Hearts must take advantage of their home fixtures if they want to have a realistic chance of progression. However, they are probably facing Istanbul at the wrong time, and we feel that the visitors will prevail in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
41.68% (0.044000000000004 0.04) 23.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 34.79% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 62.88% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)38.87% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81%61.19% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (0.019000000000005 0.02)19.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)22.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.82% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 41.68%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 34.79%
    Draw 23.52%
HeartsDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 34.79%

How you voted: Hearts vs Istanbul

Hearts
17.6%
Draw
17.6%
Istanbul Basaksehir
64.7%
17
rhs 2.0
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