Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce1 - 1Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Hearts
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Lecce 1-1 Fiorentina
Neither side have found the key to final-third fluency as yet, and both have generally coped well enough at the back. A tightly-contested encounter is therefore on the cards, with a low-scoring draw the most likely result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Fiorentina |
42.14% ( 0.63) | 26.51% ( 0.16) | 31.35% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.78% ( -0.91) | 53.22% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% ( -0.77) | 74.78% ( 0.77) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0.08) | 24.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.37% ( -0.12) | 59.63% ( 0.12) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% ( -1) | 31.4% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.23% ( -1.18) | 67.77% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 42.14%
Fiorentina 31.35%
Draw 26.51%
| Lecce | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.35% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Fiorentina
Lecce
21.0%Draw
30.6%Fiorentina
48.4%186
