Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
0 - 4
Lazio

Amrabat (24'), Julio (27'), Mandragora (68'), Dodo (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')
Lazzari (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

On the back of their ruthless showing against Hearts, Fiorentina will believe that they can replicate that performance on Monday evening. However, we cannot ignore Lazio's recent form, leading us to predict a hard-fought victory for a team who are relishing the challenge of gatecrashing the top four this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Lazio
47.7% ( 0.66)	25.16% ( -0.19)	27.13% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 53.2% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.19% (

0.52)

49.81% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19% (

0.46)

71.81% (

-0.46)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.1% (

0.5)

20.9% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.38% (

0.77)

53.62% (

-0.77)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

-0.09)

32.74% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7% (

-0.1)

69.3% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 47.7%

Lazio 27.13%

Draw 25.16%

Fiorentina	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.7%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.13%