Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina0 - 4Lazio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Lazio
On the back of their ruthless showing against Hearts, Fiorentina will believe that they can replicate that performance on Monday evening. However, we cannot ignore Lazio's recent form, leading us to predict a hard-fought victory for a team who are relishing the challenge of gatecrashing the top four this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
47.7% ( 0.66) | 25.16% ( -0.19) | 27.13% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.19% ( 0.52) | 49.81% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( 0.46) | 71.81% ( -0.46) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.5) | 20.9% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.38% ( 0.77) | 53.62% ( -0.77) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.09) | 32.74% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.1) | 69.3% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 47.7%
Lazio 27.13%
Draw 25.16%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.13% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio
Fiorentina
17.8%Draw
11.5%Lazio
70.7%314
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Jun 27, 2020 8.45pm
