Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Jan 6, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Caicedo (6'), Immobile (75')
Felipe (43'), Escalante (45'), Hoedt (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlahovic (88' pen.)
Castrovilli (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
53.15%	22.65%	24.19%

Both teams to score 58.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.72%

41.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.32%

63.68%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.44%

15.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.5%

44.5%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45%

30.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23%

66.77%

Score Analysis

Lazio 53.15%

Fiorentina 24.19%

Draw 22.65%

Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.76% 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 6.05% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.68% Total : 53.15%	1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 6.22% 0-1 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.93% Total : 24.19%