Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.