Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
41.22% | 25.08% | 33.71% |
Both teams to score 56.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.55% | 46.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.27% | 68.73% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.55% | 22.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.01% | 55.99% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% | 26.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.28% | 61.72% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |