Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.