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Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
Genoa logo

Udinese
2 - 2
Genoa

Fofana (44'), Lasagna (73')
Sema (10'), Stryger Larsen (25'), Fofana (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pandev (81'), Pinamonti (90+7')
Goldaniga (42'), Sturaro (63')

Preview: Udinese vs. Genoa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A fixture between Udinese and Genoa, including team news and predicted lineups.

Udinese play host to relegation rivals Genoa on Sunday afternoon looking to build on their victory over Roma earlier this week.

Meanwhile, Genoa make the trip to Stadium Friuli sitting in 17th position in the Serie A standings, five points adrift of their opponents.


Match preview

Genoa celebrate a goal against AC Milan in Serie A in March 2020© Reuters

Having gone nine games without a win in Serie A, Udinese boss Luca Gotti would have been starting to feel concerned about become embroiled in a relegation zone heading into the final quarter of the season.

While that is likely to remain the case, Thursday's excellent 2-0 victory away at Roma has created some breathing space between themselves and the relegation zone.

Goals from Kevin Lasagna and Ilija Nestorovski have moved Udinese up to 13th spot, six points above the drop zone, and Gotti will acknowledge that there is an opportunity to strengthen their position against their out-of-form opponents this weekend.

Gotti will feel that the long-awaited victory had been coming after performing so well against Atalanta BC last weekend, eventually succumbing to a 3-2 defeat against the fourth-placed team.

Nevertheless, only points will do at this stage of the season, and another maximum return on Sunday afternoon will put I Bianconeri on the brink of survival.

From Genoa's perspective, boss Davide Nicola must find a way to end a three-match winless streak which has been put together since the resumption.

Although his side gave a respectable account of themselves during their 3-1 defeat to Juventus, the result followed disappointing efforts against Parma and Brescia.

On a positive note, Il Grifone have a more favourable schedule than some of their rivals, with their home meetings with Inter Milan and Napoli representing their only games against top-six opposition.

However, despite having games against lower-end foes in the coming weeks, Nicola must first solve his issues at the back having witnessed Genoa concede nine goals in their last three matches.

Udinese Serie A form: DDDLLW

Genoa Serie A form: WLWLDL


Team News

Lasse Schone in action for Genoa in February 2020.© Reuters

Udinese boss Gotti is expected to retain the same team which began the match in midweek.

That would see Stefano Okaka keep his place in attack, despite having only netted once in his last 10 appearances.

Genoa will be without midfielder Lasse Schone, who is serving a one-match suspension for five yellow cards.

Lukas Lerager could come back into the starting lineup, while Antonio Sanabria is also pushing for a recall to the team.

Udinese possible starting lineup:
Musso; Maio, Troost-Ekong, Nuytinck; Larsen, De Paul, Walace, Fofana, Sema; Lasagna, Okaka

Genoa possible starting lineup:
Perin; Romero, Soumaoro, Masiello; Biraschi, Lerager, Behrami, Sturaro, Barreca; Sanabria, Pinamonti


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Udinese 1-1 Genoa

While both teams know how crucial a win could prove come the end of the season, they are also aware that avoiding defeat is equally important. With that in mind, we are backing the sides to play out a low-scoring draw this weekend.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.


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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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