MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:46:06| >> :600:956800:956800:
[monks data]
Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
Genoa logo

Udinese
2 - 2
Genoa

Fofana (44'), Lasagna (73')
Sema (10'), Stryger Larsen (25'), Fofana (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pandev (81'), Pinamonti (90+7')
Goldaniga (42'), Sturaro (63')

Preview: Udinese vs. Genoa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A fixture between Udinese and Genoa, including team news and predicted lineups.

Udinese play host to relegation rivals Genoa on Sunday afternoon looking to build on their victory over Roma earlier this week.

Meanwhile, Genoa make the trip to Stadium Friuli sitting in 17th position in the Serie A standings, five points adrift of their opponents.


Match preview

Genoa celebrate a goal against AC Milan in Serie A in March 2020© Reuters

Having gone nine games without a win in Serie A, Udinese boss Luca Gotti would have been starting to feel concerned about become embroiled in a relegation zone heading into the final quarter of the season.

While that is likely to remain the case, Thursday's excellent 2-0 victory away at Roma has created some breathing space between themselves and the relegation zone.

Goals from Kevin Lasagna and Ilija Nestorovski have moved Udinese up to 13th spot, six points above the drop zone, and Gotti will acknowledge that there is an opportunity to strengthen their position against their out-of-form opponents this weekend.

Gotti will feel that the long-awaited victory had been coming after performing so well against Atalanta BC last weekend, eventually succumbing to a 3-2 defeat against the fourth-placed team.

Nevertheless, only points will do at this stage of the season, and another maximum return on Sunday afternoon will put I Bianconeri on the brink of survival.

From Genoa's perspective, boss Davide Nicola must find a way to end a three-match winless streak which has been put together since the resumption.

Although his side gave a respectable account of themselves during their 3-1 defeat to Juventus, the result followed disappointing efforts against Parma and Brescia.

On a positive note, Il Grifone have a more favourable schedule than some of their rivals, with their home meetings with Inter Milan and Napoli representing their only games against top-six opposition.

However, despite having games against lower-end foes in the coming weeks, Nicola must first solve his issues at the back having witnessed Genoa concede nine goals in their last three matches.

Udinese Serie A form: DDDLLW

Genoa Serie A form: WLWLDL


Team News

Lasse Schone in action for Genoa in February 2020.© Reuters

Udinese boss Gotti is expected to retain the same team which began the match in midweek.

That would see Stefano Okaka keep his place in attack, despite having only netted once in his last 10 appearances.

Genoa will be without midfielder Lasse Schone, who is serving a one-match suspension for five yellow cards.

Lukas Lerager could come back into the starting lineup, while Antonio Sanabria is also pushing for a recall to the team.

Udinese possible starting lineup:
Musso; Maio, Troost-Ekong, Nuytinck; Larsen, De Paul, Walace, Fofana, Sema; Lasagna, Okaka

Genoa possible starting lineup:
Perin; Romero, Soumaoro, Masiello; Biraschi, Lerager, Behrami, Sturaro, Barreca; Sanabria, Pinamonti


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Udinese 1-1 Genoa

While both teams know how crucial a win could prove come the end of the season, they are also aware that avoiding defeat is equally important. With that in mind, we are backing the sides to play out a low-scoring draw this weekend.



ID:404940: cacheID:404940:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:6469:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Menacing Real Madrid skipper Sergio Ramos celebrates on July 2, 2020
Read Next:
European roundup: Sergio Ramos fires Real Madrid four points clear at top
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!