Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Jun 23, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 4
Parma

Falque (59' pen.)
Cassata (32')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cornelius (18', 33', 53'), Kulusevski (87')
Iacoponi (29'), Laurini (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between strugglers Genoa and European-chasing Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Parma had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Parma
51.68%	24.88%	23.44%

Both teams to score 50.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45%

51.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.65%

73.34%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06%

19.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91%

52.08%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.18%

36.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.39%

73.6%

Score Analysis

Genoa 51.67%

Parma 23.44%

Draw 24.87%

Genoa	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.67%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.44%