Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
