Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
