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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
Milan logo

Crotone
0 - 2
AC Milan


Marrone (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (45+2' pen.), Diaz (50')
Pioli (57'), Gabbia (63'), Hernandez (78'), Leao (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A game between Crotone and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawAC Milan
27.44%23.55%49.01%
Both teams to score 58.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47%42.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06%64.94%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.53%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49%17.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98%48.02%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 27.44%
    AC Milan 49.01%
    Draw 23.55%
CrotoneDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.82%
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 27.44%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 5.53%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.41%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.01%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2018 2pm
AC Milan
1-0
Crotone
Bonucci (54')
Biglia (45'), Kalinic (90')

Mandragora (20'), Martella (90')
Aug 20, 2017 7.45pm
Crotone
0-3
AC Milan

Dussenne (90')
Ceccherini (5')
Kessie (6' pen.), Cutrone (18'), Suso (24')
Cutrone (9'), Locatelli (59'), Bonucci (69')
Apr 30, 2017 2pm
Crotone
1-1
AC Milan
Trotta (8')
Ferrari (20'), Crisetig (26'), Falcinelli (94')
Zapata (50')
Kucka (24'), Deulofeu (43')
Kucka (96')
Dec 4, 2016 11.30am
AC Milan
2-1
Crotone
Pasalic (41'), Lapadula (86')
Locatelli (49'), Sosa (63'), Lapadula (87')
Falcinelli (26')
Rosi (43'), Crisetig (52'), Rohden (60'), Stoian (67')
Dec 1, 2015 8pm
Round Four
AC Milan
3-1
Crotone
Adriano (47'), Bonaventura (105'), Niang (115')
Mauri (65'), Adriano (109')
Budimir (68')
Alexandru Balasa (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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