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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
1 - 2
AC Milan

Lukaku (29')
Brozovic (64'), Vidal (69'), Hakimi (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ibrahimovic (13', 16')
Kjaer (22'), Kessie (45+1'), Ibrahimovic (60'), Pioli (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Derby della Madonnina between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
48.73%23.15%28.12%
Both teams to score 60.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81%40.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44%62.56%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.64%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98%27.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62%62.37%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 48.73%
    AC Milan 28.12%
    Draw 23.14%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-1 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 7.45pm
Sep 21, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 17, 2019 7.30pm
Oct 21, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Icardi (90')
Politano (75'), Balde (90')

Biglia (20'), Calhanoglu (44'), Calabria (45'), Suso (61'), Bakayoko (90')
Apr 4, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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