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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
1 - 2
AC Milan

Lukaku (29')
Brozovic (64'), Vidal (69'), Hakimi (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ibrahimovic (13', 16')
Kjaer (22'), Kessie (45+1'), Ibrahimovic (60'), Pioli (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Derby della Madonnina between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
48.73%23.15%28.12%
Both teams to score 60.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81%40.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44%62.56%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.64%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98%27.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62%62.37%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 48.73%
    AC Milan 28.12%
    Draw 23.14%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-1 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 7.45pm
Sep 21, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 17, 2019 7.30pm
Oct 21, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Icardi (90')
Politano (75'), Balde (90')

Biglia (20'), Calhanoglu (44'), Calabria (45'), Suso (61'), Bakayoko (90')
Apr 4, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan6321147711
2Torino532085311
3Napoli531194510
4Udinese531177010
5Juventus52306069
6Empoli52305239
7Inter Milan522110558
8Lazio52129817
9Atalanta BCAtalanta52031011-16
10Roma51315326
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
12Bologna513168-26
13Fiorentina51317706
14Parma512289-15
15Lecce6123311-85
16Como512269-35
17Genoa512247-35
18VeneziaVenezia511338-54
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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