Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 2, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL1 - 3Fiorentina
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest SPAL win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 26.62% | 23.41% | 49.97% |
| Both teams to score 58.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
