Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Jul 12, 2020 at 4.15pm UK

Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 0
SPAL

Pandev (24'), Schone (54')
Behrami (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Floccari (64'), Cerri (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and SPAL, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	SPAL
43.3%	25.77%	30.93%

Both teams to score 53.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.66%

50.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.72%

72.28%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86%

23.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43%

57%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77%

30.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61%

66.39%

Score Analysis

Genoa 43.29%

SPAL 30.93%

Draw 25.76%

Genoa	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.29%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.93%