Serie A | Gameweek 27
Jun 23, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL0 - 1Cagliari
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Cagliari |
| 33.86% | 25.92% | 40.22% |
| Both teams to score 54.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% | 50.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% | 72.08% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% | 28.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.11% | 63.89% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% | 24.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.94% | 59.06% |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 33.86%
Cagliari 40.22%
Draw 25.92%
| SPAL | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.22% |
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 8
Cagliari
2-0
SPAL
Apr 7, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 31
Cagliari
2-1
SPAL
