Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.