Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
