Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 2pm UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Spezia2 - 2Fiorentina
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 45.47% | 24.38% | 30.15% |
| Both teams to score 57.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% | 44.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% | 67% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% | 19.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% | 27.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Score Analysis |
Spezia 45.47%
Fiorentina 30.15%
Draw 24.38%
| Spezia | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.02% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-1 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.15% |
