Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
0 - 0
Lazio

Ilzer (23'), Hierlander (34'), Gazibegovic (35'), Siebenhandl (90'), Kiteishvili (90+5')
Gazibegovic (82')

Cataldi (25'), Patric (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Lazio

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Lazio 4-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

As Lazio have lost eight of their last 10 Europa League games on the road, victory should not be taken for granted as they travel outside Rome again. Nonetheless, their greater individual quality should see them past a modest Sturm Graz side in what could be quite an open contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Lazio
51.35% ( 0.14)	23.9% ( -0.01)	24.76% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 55.08% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.71% (

-0.07)

46.3% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.42% (

-0.07)

68.59% (

0.07)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

0.02)

18.04% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.06% (

0.04)

48.94% (

-0.04)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.21% (

-0.15)

32.79% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.65% (

-0.17)

69.35% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 51.35%

Lazio 24.76%

Draw 23.89%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.35%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.76%