Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Merkur Arena
Sturm Graz0 - 0Lazio
Ilzer (23'), Hierlander (34'), Gazibegovic (35'), Siebenhandl (90'), Kiteishvili (90+5')
Gazibegovic (82')
FT
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 4-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Lazio
As Lazio have lost eight of their last 10 Europa League games on the road, victory should not be taken for granted as they travel outside Rome again. Nonetheless, their greater individual quality should see them past a modest Sturm Graz side in what could be quite an open contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Lazio |
51.35% ( 0.14) | 23.9% ( -0.01) | 24.76% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
