MX23RW : Tuesday, April 1 00:23:49| >> :120:28027:28027:
Feyenoord
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord
6 - 0
Sturm Graz

Jahanbakhsh (9', 41'), Hancko (31'), Danilo (34'), Gimenez (66'), Idrissi (78')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Feyenoord and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 3-0 Sparta
Sunday, September 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Feyenoord 2-1 Sturm Graz

Feyenoord will be keen to get themselves back on track by securing all three points in front of their fans. We are backing them to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawSturm Graz
38.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.38% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 35.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.85% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)51.88% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)73.63% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)26.26% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)61.37% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.32% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.058 -0.06)64.05% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 38.58%
    Sturm Graz 35.04%
    Draw 26.37%
FeyenoordDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 38.58%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.04%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz

Feyenoord
Draw
Sturm Graz
Feyenoord
86.0%
Draw
8.3%
Sturm Graz
5.7%
157
rhs 2.0
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