Neither side head into this fixture in the best of form, but the visitors do possess more individual quality and this could be the match which kick-starts Capellas's reign. The hosts gained only two points from six games in last season's Europa League, so they may be lacking belief that they can compete at this level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	FC Midtjylland
41.59% ( -0.02)	24.29% ( 0.01)	34.12% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.88% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

-0.06)

42.71% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

-0.06)

65.12% (

0.06)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

-0.03)

20.68% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

-0.05)

53.27% (

0.05)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

-0.03)

24.5% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

-0.04)

58.96% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 41.59%

FC Midtjylland 34.12%

Draw 24.29%

Sturm Graz	Draw	FC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.59%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.12%