UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
0 - 3
Fiorentina

Kingsley (25'), Kiomourtzoglou (56')
Neilson (48')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mandragora (4'), Kouame (42'), Jovic (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hearts and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Hearts 0-4 Rangers
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 2 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hearts 1-2 Fiorentina

Despite their poor away run in all tournaments, Fiorentina will be regarded as the favourites to claim maximum points on Thursday, considering the quality that they possess in their squad. Hearts will fancy their chances of causing an upset, but we can see the Italians edging out their Scottish opponents to claim their first win in Group A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Fiorentina
45.68% ( -0.14)	22.27% ( 0.04)	32.05% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 66.62% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.43% (

-0.14)

33.58% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.62% (

-0.16)

55.39% (

0.16)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.68% (

-0.1)

15.33% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.93% (

-0.19)

44.08% (

0.2)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

-0.01)

21.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.72% (

-0.01)

54.28% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Hearts 45.69%

Fiorentina 32.05%

Draw 22.27%

Hearts	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 45.69%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.27%	1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 32.05%