Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
56.87% | 23.46% | 19.66% |
Both teams to score 49.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.94% | 50.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.96% | 72.03% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% | 17.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.19% | 47.8% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.24% | 39.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.57% | 76.42% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 12.09% 2-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 5.69% 4-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.69% Total : 56.86% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.33% Total : 19.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |