Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 16, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 1
Inter Milan

Immobile (64' pen.), Anderson (81'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+1')
Basic (27'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Anderson (83')
Felipe (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Perisic (12' pen.)
Gagliardini (36'), Bastoni (63'), Martinez (83'), Dumfries (83'), Correa (87'), Darmian (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
31.99%	24.11%	43.89%

Both teams to score 59.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.42%

42.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.01%

64.98%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3%

25.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.38%

60.61%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4%

19.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.45%

51.54%

Score Analysis

Lazio 31.99%

Inter Milan 43.89%

Draw 24.11%

Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.99%	1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.11%	1-2 @ 9.09% 0-1 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 4.94% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.13% Total : 43.89%