Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Feb 14, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Lazio

Lukaku (22' pen., 45'), Martinez (64')
Lukaku (26'), Hakimi (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Milinkovic-Savic (61')
Hoedt (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
52.8%	22.13%	25.07%

Both teams to score 61.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.07%

37.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.82%

60.18%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5%

14.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.51%

42.49%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96%

28.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31%

63.69%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 52.8%

Lazio 25.07%

Draw 22.13%

Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 6.21% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.8%	1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 6.35% 0-1 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.59% Total : 25.07%