Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 3-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.