Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.