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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
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Spezia
1 - 2
Genoa

N'Zola (10')
Erlic (2'), Chabot (5'), Terzi (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Destro (16'), Criscito (73' pen.)
Pandev (33'), Ghiglione (43'), Destro (70'), Zajc (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawGenoa
45.43%25.56%29.01%
Both teams to score 53.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65%50.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71%72.29%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86%22.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48%55.52%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4%31.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32%68%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 45.42%
    Genoa 29.01%
    Draw 25.56%
SpeziaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.42%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.06%
1-2 @ 7%
0-2 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.01%

How you voted: Spezia vs Genoa

Spezia
42.3%
Draw
32.7%
Genoa
25.0%
52
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan6321147711
2Torino532085311
3Napoli531194510
4Udinese531177010
5Juventus52306069
6Empoli52305239
7Inter Milan522110558
8Lazio52129817
9Atalanta BCAtalanta52031011-16
10Roma51315326
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
12Bologna513168-26
13Fiorentina51317706
14Parma512289-15
15Lecce6123311-85
16Como512269-35
17Genoa512247-35
18VeneziaVenezia511338-54
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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