Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Genoa |
45.43% | 25.56% | 29.01% |
Both teams to score 53.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.65% | 50.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.71% | 72.29% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% | 22.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.48% | 55.52% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% | 31.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32% | 68% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.42% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |