Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
28.23% | 23.77% | 48% |
Both teams to score 58.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% | 42.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% | 65.39% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% | 28.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% | 64.12% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% | 18.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.01% | 49% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 6.96% 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.62% Total : 48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
3 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
15 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |