Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Lazio |
27.7% | 25.82% | 46.48% |
Both teams to score 51.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.89% | 52.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.17% | 73.83% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% | 33.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.85% | 70.15% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% | 22.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.09% | 55.91% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.7% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-2 @ 8.4% 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
2 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 25 |
3 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
5 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
6 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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