Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 2pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo4 - 1Crotone
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.09%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Crotone |
| 39.83% | 22.8% | 37.37% |
| Both teams to score 66.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.16% | 34.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.19% | 56.81% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% | 18.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% | 19.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.06% | 50.95% |
| Score Analysis |
Sassuolo 39.83%
Crotone 37.37%
Draw 22.8%
| Sassuolo | Draw | Crotone |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% 1-0 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.47% Total : 37.37% |
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2018 11.30am
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Oct 16, 2016 2pm
Sassuolo
2-1
Crotone
Sensi (84'), Iemmello (87')
Iemmello (87')
Iemmello (87')
