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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Fiorentina logo

Genoa
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Criscito (90+8' pen.)
Toure (13'), Criscito (15'), Vanheusden (20'), Behrami (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Saponara (60'), Bonaventura (89')
Odriozola (36'), Biraghi (45+3'), Martinez (54'), Kokorin (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawFiorentina
33.39%26.39%40.23%
Both teams to score 52.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83%52.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.12%73.88%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.52%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5%25.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65%60.35%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 33.39%
    Fiorentina 40.23%
    Draw 26.39%
GenoaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.39%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.52%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 7.03%
1-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.23%

How you voted: Genoa vs Fiorentina

Genoa
21.4%
Draw
26.2%
Fiorentina
52.4%
84
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 29
Genoa
1-1
Fiorentina
Destro (13')
Strootman (2'), Zajc (64')
Vlahovic (23')
Iachini (52'), Pulgar (90+5')
Ribery (52')
Dec 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Fiorentina
1-1
Genoa
Milenkovic (90+8')
Pulgar (15'), Valero (90+4')
Pjaca (89')
Sturaro (45+2'), Pellegrini (73')
Jan 25, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 21
Fiorentina
0-0
Genoa
Pezzella (14'), Milenkovic (38'), Venuti (75'), Caceres (94')
Schone (31'), Favilli (39'), Sturaro (92')
Sep 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Genoa
2-1
Fiorentina
Zapata (11'), Kouame (65')
Romero (16'), Criscito (45')
Pulgar (76' pen.)
May 26, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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