Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
0 - 3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The fallout from recent events at the Franchi - plus the need to observe a settling period for their new-look front line - could mean that Fiorentina are caught short in an absorbing encounter between two progressive teams. Though no major signings have been made, Lazio can at least name a settled side - including the likeliest matchwinner: the in-form Immobile. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Lazio
55.81%	22.4%	21.79%

Both teams to score 56.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.15%

42.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.74%

65.26%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79%

15.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.14%

43.86%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49%

33.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85%

70.15%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 55.81%

Lazio 21.79%

Draw 22.4%

Fiorentina	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.73% Total : 55.81%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.4% 0-0 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 5.74% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.26% Total : 21.79%