Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 6, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 3
Empoli

Immobile (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (66', 90+3')
Felipe (18'), Pedro (52'), Marusic (62'), Alberto (71')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bajrami (6' pen.), Zurkowski (8'), Di Francesco (75')
Parisi (10'), Marchizza (33'), Luperto (86'), Bandinelli (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having ended 2021 on a low note, Empoli would have welcomed the opportunity to regroup ahead of this important fixture. However, Lazio had gotten back on track ahead of the Christmas break, and we are backing the home side to run out convincing winners on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Empoli
62.38%	20.98%	16.64%

Both teams to score 51.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77%

44.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39%

66.61%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.4%

13.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.27%

40.73%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.17%

39.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.51%

76.49%

Score Analysis

Lazio 62.38%

Empoli 16.64%

Draw 20.98%

Lazio	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 10.8% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.6% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.93% Total : 62.38%	1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.98%	0-1 @ 4.99% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.97% Total : 16.64%